FINMA held supervisory discussions with the largest banks and insurance companies regarding the increased physical risks resulting from climate change. These include, for example, risks arising from extreme natural events, such as storms, landslides or floods, or risks ensuing from slowly unfolding changes such as rising average temperatures. The discussions addressed the extent to which the institutions were exposed to such risks on account of their business activities – including, in particular, through indirect exposure arising from financing activities and investments – as well as how they identify and appropriately manage the major risks.
FINMA also carried out one-day on-site inspections at individual banks with potentially heightened climate-risk profiles. Depending on the size and business model of the bank, FINMA examined issues such as how the bank tackles climate-related risks in the mortgage sector and how it addresses greenwashing risks, or it reviewed the climate stress test models used by the bank.
Data surveys on climate-related financial risks
During the year under review, FINMA collected various data from banks and insurance companies in order to obtain information on their climate-related risk profiles and identify particularly vulnerable institutions.
In the case of insurance companies, this was done by means of the periodic data survey on investment activities. The asset classes identified in that data collection process, broken down by economic sector, reflect the exposure of the insurance companies to the transition risks that may arise in connection with the shift to a lower greenhouse gas-emitting economy.
In the case of banks in supervisory categories 1 to 3, FINMA carried out its annual data survey on climate-related financial risks. The collected data contained, inter alia, information on exposures to non-financial companies operating in various economic sectors, as well as on financed greenhouse gas emissions in the balance sheet business and in the assets under management. The banks also indicated their mortgage loan volumes, broken down by real estate with good, medium, poor and unknown energy efficiency. Furthermore, FINMA collected data on the banks’ objectives in relation to CO2 reduction, as well as their self-assessments of the physical and transition risks. Finally, it collected data on the use of some specific risk management instruments, such as scenario analyses, and the exposure limits in the banks’ business activities.
The data surveys facilitate a cross-comparison between the institutions and allow supervisory work to focus on institutions with irregularities. Summary findings from the data surveys were also incorporated into FINMA’s climate risk report, which was published for the first time as part of the FINMA Risk Monitor 2025.
Analyses of climate-related financial risks
In 2024 and 2025, FINMA and the SNB carried out a joint climate-related scenario analysis at UBS. The purpose of the analysis was to assess the bank’s loss potential arising from transition risks under various scenarios up to 2050. The applied scenarios were the Phase IV scenarios defined by the Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS). The scenario analysis addressed the potential losses that could be incurred by 2050 in connection with corporate loans, shares, corporate bonds and associated derivatives. Data supplied by a third-party provider was used to supplement the analysis.
The climate-related scenario analysis revealed that UBS’s corporate loans portfolio exhibited the highest loss potential. That was based on the assumption that the NGFS scenario “Net Zero 2050” or “Low Demand” would occur. However, the loss potential was significantly lower than that identified in the course of the three-year-horizon stress tests conducted by FINMA and the SNB using macroeconomic stress scenarios. Challenges relating to the climate scenario analysis should be noted. For example, the very long time horizon to 2050 involves significant inherent uncertainty, and comparisons with short-term stress scenarios are possible only to a limited extent. FINMA also identified potential for improvement in relation to data quality.
In addition, in 2025, FINMA and the SNB commenced work aimed at deepening their analysis on the potential impacts of the physical risks associated with Swiss building stock. The analysis is expected to be completed in 2026.